The situation
Reports, documents and individual accounts can accumulate without explaining the situation. More sources may expose further contradictions rather than provide greater confidence. We identify which information matters to the decision.
Service
An important decision.A sound basis.
Before an investment, negotiation or change of direction, we help boards and business owners assess information, relationships and gaps in knowledge. The decision defines what needs to be collected and examined.
When to involve us
- Sources present conflicting accounts.
- You need to distinguish findings from assumptions before deciding.
- Relationships between people matter alongside documents and systems.
- The decision is urgent and the gaps in knowledge are unclear.
What we examine
The scope follows the question and the material available.
- Dispersed information and inconsistencies
- Relationships between people, companies and events
- Reliability of open sources, human sources and case material
- Information gaps and their implications
- Risk arising from incomplete or distorted information
How we work
The decision
We establish what needs to be decided and which information could change the assessment.
Connecting sources
We compare open-source information, human accounts and case material. Reliability and the source’s access to knowledge matter more than presentation.
Testing hypotheses
We separate findings from interpretation and consider alternative explanations.
Explaining the assessment
We present the key findings, their significance, confidence levels and points needing further examination.
What you receive
An assessment of what has been established, what remains unknown and how this affects the decision. It informs the decision; responsibility for that decision remains with the client.
We agree the form of the deliverable and the scope of recommendations before work begins. The outcome includes limitations and questions that remain unresolved.
The experience behind the work
- Information and relationship analysis
- Source assessment
- Combining OSINT and HUMINT
- Working with incomplete information